Question

В средней азии есть город ягиер. за лето там бывает в среднем 2 дождя. если 20 июня в 12 ч ночи там идёт дождь, то какая вероятность, что через 48 ч будет солнечная погода?

Answer 1

Солнечной погоды быть никак не может потому, что через 48 ч будет ночь

Answer 2

Probability of Sunny Weather after Rain in Yagier

To calculate the probability of sunny weather after rain in Yagier, we need to consider the given information. According to the question, in Yagier, there are an average of 2 rainy days during the summer. If it is raining in Yagier at 12:00 AM on June 20th, we want to determine the probability of having sunny weather 48 hours later.

To calculate this probability, we need to make a few assumptions: 1. The weather conditions in Yagier are independent events, meaning that the occurrence of rain or sunshine on one day does not affect the occurrence on subsequent days. 2. The average number of rainy days during the summer is evenly distributed throughout the season.

Based on these assumptions, we can calculate the probability as follows:

1. Calculate the probability of having a rainy day on June 20th: - Since there are an average of 2 rainy days during the summer, the probability of having a rainy day on June 20th is 2/92 (assuming a 92-day summer season).

2. Calculate the probability of having sunny weather 48 hours later: - Since the weather conditions are independent events, the probability of having sunny weather 48 hours later is the complement of the probability of having rainy weather. Therefore, the probability of having sunny weather 48 hours later is 1 - (2/92).

Please note that the specific weather patterns and probabilities for Yagier may vary, and the information provided is based on the assumptions made. It is always best to consult local weather forecasts for accurate and up-to-date information.

Therefore, the probability of having sunny weather 48 hours after rain in Yagier, given the provided information, is approximately 0.9783 (97.83%).

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